Bob Spurzem on the Ferris blog sees the same exponential pattern that Gordon Moore predicted for electronic circuits to apply to the growth of email.

“Consider email quantity. Where once we sent and received only a handful of emails daily, today we routinely send and receive hundreds of emails. You might argue that the volumes are increasing exponentially.

Finally, consider mailbox size. A 10MB mailbox was once the norm and was replaced with 100-200MB mailboxes in recent years. Today users expect multigigabyte mailboxes, made famous by Google’s Gmail.”

Interestingly Bob’s prediction for the future holds true already. We routinely see very large mailboxes at our customers, often exceeding the 10GB mark.

Just like Moore’s law, which will eventually hit the atom barrier, the usefulness of email will diminish as mailbox size and message load keep growing exponentially.

Technorati Tags: email growth, moore’s law, ferris

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